Jaime, Thank you for bringing your forensic skills to bear yet again. Please keep at it.
At my age (70s), I find it difficult to fathom the "it's worse than we thought" mentality which seems to have become so pervasive in the last couple of decades or more. A number of factors, perhaps: poorer ejukashun, gormless acceptance of "elite" pronouncements, more gullible MSM, the wildfire spread of what is essentially propaganda through soshul meeja. and so on.
These clots are not scientists. As Gary points out, if they were, they'd be working strenuously to disprove their own hypotheses. (I nearly wrote "prejudices" there.) Richard Feynman would take a rather dim view!
Thanks for the analysis, and calling out the bull***t. This is using statistics [cherry picking data and using models] to "prove" ideology is getting silly. You are right that excess deaths have been consistently high for weeks before and after the two days or so of heat, and hence in no way can all the excess deaths which occurred in that short window be claimed as due to heat. And isn't interesting how the government and media are silent on all those other excess deaths before and after...
Gary, here is the authors' lame duck excuses for the obvious limitations on the interpretation of their analysis:
"13. Limitations in interpreting estimated excess mortality during heat-period figures in light of COVID-19
When interpreting estimates of all-cause heat-related excess mortality during heat-periods, it is helpful to consider:
mortality rates (coronavirus (COVID-19) and non-COVID-19) were increasing before the heat-periods occurred and daily mortality rates remained elevated during less warm temperatures after the heat-periods; the excess mortality during Autumn and Summer 2021 and Spring and Summer 2022 was above the five-year average, even when temperatures were typical for England.
more investigation is needed on what is causing these mortality patterns over this period, for example: a possible link between COVID-19 and exposure to heat, even at relatively mild elevated levels of heat exposure.
other possible mortality causes, such as non-COVID-19 infectious diseases, have not yet been studied in this analysis."
A 'possible link between COVID-19 and exposure to heat'. LOL. That's SO lame. They can't even bring themselves to mention the obvious, which would also explain the fact - from their own data - that a large proportion of those who died did so because of heart failure!
When I was trained as a scientist, the guiding principle was to do everything you can do to prove yourself wrong. This is why we can tell these people are not scientists, because everything they see they can distort into proving their own hypothesis.
Jaime, Thank you for bringing your forensic skills to bear yet again. Please keep at it.
At my age (70s), I find it difficult to fathom the "it's worse than we thought" mentality which seems to have become so pervasive in the last couple of decades or more. A number of factors, perhaps: poorer ejukashun, gormless acceptance of "elite" pronouncements, more gullible MSM, the wildfire spread of what is essentially propaganda through soshul meeja. and so on.
These clots are not scientists. As Gary points out, if they were, they'd be working strenuously to disprove their own hypotheses. (I nearly wrote "prejudices" there.) Richard Feynman would take a rather dim view!
Thanks for the analysis, and calling out the bull***t. This is using statistics [cherry picking data and using models] to "prove" ideology is getting silly. You are right that excess deaths have been consistently high for weeks before and after the two days or so of heat, and hence in no way can all the excess deaths which occurred in that short window be claimed as due to heat. And isn't interesting how the government and media are silent on all those other excess deaths before and after...
Gary, here is the authors' lame duck excuses for the obvious limitations on the interpretation of their analysis:
"13. Limitations in interpreting estimated excess mortality during heat-period figures in light of COVID-19
When interpreting estimates of all-cause heat-related excess mortality during heat-periods, it is helpful to consider:
mortality rates (coronavirus (COVID-19) and non-COVID-19) were increasing before the heat-periods occurred and daily mortality rates remained elevated during less warm temperatures after the heat-periods; the excess mortality during Autumn and Summer 2021 and Spring and Summer 2022 was above the five-year average, even when temperatures were typical for England.
more investigation is needed on what is causing these mortality patterns over this period, for example: a possible link between COVID-19 and exposure to heat, even at relatively mild elevated levels of heat exposure.
other possible mortality causes, such as non-COVID-19 infectious diseases, have not yet been studied in this analysis."
A 'possible link between COVID-19 and exposure to heat'. LOL. That's SO lame. They can't even bring themselves to mention the obvious, which would also explain the fact - from their own data - that a large proportion of those who died did so because of heart failure!
When I was trained as a scientist, the guiding principle was to do everything you can do to prove yourself wrong. This is why we can tell these people are not scientists, because everything they see they can distort into proving their own hypothesis.