If you live in Western Europe and you have an electric oven, it may be a good idea to cook the turkey on Christmas Eve or very early on Christmas morning.
What is worse is that the power produced is proportional to the cube of the wind speed. Therefore, a 20% decrease in wind speed reduces the power output by 50%.
Yes, you're right, when the wind drops it's not even a linear decrease in power generation, it's exponential. Which means of course that any gas backup must also increase exponentially to plug the gap. That has got to be very expensive.
Holger forgets the word Schadenfreude, which is what some of us in saner parts of the world experience as we look at the mess "Green" energy has made of the European economy and the politicians pushing it
Merry dunkleflaute to you too. Gas cooker, ( lesson learned years ago) woodburner stove, supplied from our hedgerows, and a generator and candles.as backup
Due to the failure to take account of severe wind droughts many grids are sleepwalking into a “wind drought trap” where they will be in crisis on windless nights.
How did it happen?
The trap is set in as subsidised and mandated wind and solar power DISPLACE conventional fuels although they can’t REPLACE them.
When the displacement of conventional power reaches a “tipping point” the grid is in a “red zone” where windless nights are potentially lethal.
Britain and Germany have passed that point, and they survive precariously on imports and deindustrialization to reduce demand. Australia is on the cusp and ANOTHER DEMOCRAT TERM IN THE WHITE HOUSE WOULD HAVE TRAPPED THE US IN THE RED ZONE.
The treason of the meteorologists
The meteorological offices of the world never issued wind drought warnings even though meteorologists know that high pressure systems cause low wind periods. So the Dunkelflautes came as a surprise in Europe in 2021 although mariners and millers must have experienced them for centuries.
The World Meteorological Organization must have known about wind droughts because the first Assessment report of the IPCC recommended a survey of the wind resources of the world to assess the prospects for large-scale wind power. That would have been led by the WMO.
The WMO was a first mover in the climate scare in the UN and in the establishment of the IPCC. All the met offices have been hyperactive in supporting the scare by tampering with temperature records and attributing extreme weather events to climate change.
One of the aims articulated by early climate alarmists in the UN was to wreck the capitalist economies of the west (to save the planet.) That can happen when wind and solar displace fossil fuels to the point where wind droughts become an existential threat to the power supply.
The only positive thing is that the weather pattern is progressing and not stagnating in Europe and here in the US. If the dark doldrum pattern were to stall for days the results would be catastrophic.
Merry Christmas. Hopefully in 2025 reality will catch up to the transition dreams and common sense will wake up.
Jaime
What is worse is that the power produced is proportional to the cube of the wind speed. Therefore, a 20% decrease in wind speed reduces the power output by 50%.
Yes, you're right, when the wind drops it's not even a linear decrease in power generation, it's exponential. Which means of course that any gas backup must also increase exponentially to plug the gap. That has got to be very expensive.
Holger forgets the word Schadenfreude, which is what some of us in saner parts of the world experience as we look at the mess "Green" energy has made of the European economy and the politicians pushing it
Merry dunkleflaute to you too. Gas cooker, ( lesson learned years ago) woodburner stove, supplied from our hedgerows, and a generator and candles.as backup
MERRY CHRISTMAS AND A RED ALERT!
NET ZERO STATES SLEEPWALKING INTO DANGER
The wind drought trap
Due to the failure to take account of severe wind droughts many grids are sleepwalking into a “wind drought trap” where they will be in crisis on windless nights.
How did it happen?
The trap is set in as subsidised and mandated wind and solar power DISPLACE conventional fuels although they can’t REPLACE them.
https://www.flickerpower.com/index.php/search/categories/renewables/21-7-intermittent-solar-and-wind-power-can-displace-coal-but-cannot-replace-it
Approaching the tipping point
https://newcatallaxy.blog/2023/07/11/approaching-the-tipping-point/
The trap closes
When the displacement of conventional power reaches a “tipping point” the grid is in a “red zone” where windless nights are potentially lethal.
Britain and Germany have passed that point, and they survive precariously on imports and deindustrialization to reduce demand. Australia is on the cusp and ANOTHER DEMOCRAT TERM IN THE WHITE HOUSE WOULD HAVE TRAPPED THE US IN THE RED ZONE.
The treason of the meteorologists
The meteorological offices of the world never issued wind drought warnings even though meteorologists know that high pressure systems cause low wind periods. So the Dunkelflautes came as a surprise in Europe in 2021 although mariners and millers must have experienced them for centuries.
https://www.flickerpower.com/images/The_endless_wind_drought_crippling_renewables___The_Spectator_Australia.pdf
The World Meteorological Organization must have known about wind droughts because the first Assessment report of the IPCC recommended a survey of the wind resources of the world to assess the prospects for large-scale wind power. That would have been led by the WMO.
The WMO was a first mover in the climate scare in the UN and in the establishment of the IPCC. All the met offices have been hyperactive in supporting the scare by tampering with temperature records and attributing extreme weather events to climate change.
One of the aims articulated by early climate alarmists in the UN was to wreck the capitalist economies of the west (to save the planet.) That can happen when wind and solar displace fossil fuels to the point where wind droughts become an existential threat to the power supply.
Britain and Germany illustrate the process.
I'm not sure gemutlich has actually made its way into the English language. Perhaps he's thinking of gesundheit.
But when the lights go out and my Tesla Powerwall automatically kicks in, I'll definitely be feeling schadenfreude.
Happy Christmas Jaime — praying for better political and meteorological weather in 2025!
Merry Christmas to you and yours!! I’m praying we wake up on January 1 and discover all this insanity was a horrible dream! 🙏🏻🎄🥳
The only positive thing is that the weather pattern is progressing and not stagnating in Europe and here in the US. If the dark doldrum pattern were to stall for days the results would be catastrophic.
Merry Christmas. Hopefully in 2025 reality will catch up to the transition dreams and common sense will wake up.