Weird (Not Weird) El Nino Has Peaked And Is Now Fading
The weird El Nino which was wrongly blamed for the remarkable jump in global temperature starting June 2023 has peaked at strong (just - ONI NDJ=2.0) and is now slowly fading.
Neutral ENSO conditions are expected by summer, possibly La Nina conditions predicted by autumn:
So, in keeping with other El Ninos, we should see global temperature start to decline sharply from its current peak from about April onwards. In particular, we should expect fairly pronounced global cooling by the year’s end if moderate to strong La Nina conditions return in the autumn. If these things don’t happen, and the planet continues to simmer at or near its current ‘global boiling’ point, then we must enquire once more, what is causing this ‘boiling’?
As you say, the predictions point to cooling, however, I am more interested in the error bar. It is rather wide this time. A lot of wiggle room and no matter what the result is, you can be sure, the warming aficionados will scream for outlawing gas stoves based on their poor predictions, models and biases.
I hope you're right about cooling later this year. It will be fun watching the climate change fanatics try to twist the truth (LIE!) to keep the false narrative going :-)