WaPo: "A new climate reality: Less warming, but worse impacts on the planet" PMSL

The climate change alarmists are being forced to admit that their catastrophic projections of global warming are not happening. But rather than admit that they were wrong, they’re just moving the goal posts plus absurdly claiming that the lack of warming is because of their stupid windmills! It’s unbelievable. These people are pathologically incapable of admitting error. Here’s what the Washington Post is now claiming:

In the not-so-distant past, scientists predicted that global temperatures would surge dramatically throughout this century, assuming that humans would rely heavily on fossil fuels for decades. But they are revising their forecasts as they track both signs of progress and unexpected hazards.

[Translation: We got it wrong.]

Accelerating solar and wind energy adoption means global warming probably will not reach the extremes once feared, climate scientists say. At the same time, recent heat, storms and ecological disasters prove, they say, that climate change impacts could be more severe than predicted even with less warming.

Researchers are increasingly worried about the degree to which even less-than-extreme increases in global temperatures will intensify heat and storms, irreversibly destabilize natural systems and overwhelm even highly developed societies. Extremes considered virtually impossible not long ago are already occurring.

Translation: Our silly windmills and solar panels have prevented really catastrophic global warming but extreme weather is worse than we thought, even though global warming is not as bad we pretended it would be, so we still need more windmills and solar panels and a ban on gas boilers, cookers and cars in order to prevent nasty weather.]

This is called wanting to have your cake and eat it. In defence of the ‘extreme weather is a lot more extreme than we thought it would be’ meme, they cite the recent ‘heatwave’ (more a very brief flash in the pan actually) which occurred in the Pacific Northwest:

Take, for example, a heat wave that descended on the Pacific Northwest in June 2021. Portland and Seattle hit record highs of 116 degrees and 108 degrees, respectively. British Columbia broke Canadian high-temperature records three days in a row, peaking at 121 degrees — more than 40 degrees hotter than normal for that time of year.

Scientists quickly determined the heat was so extreme, it could not have occurred without the influence of global warming. Further research found that, in a world with 2 degrees of warming above preindustrial temperatures, it may be a once-in-a-decade sort of event.

It’s hard to know where to start with dissecting the bullshit in these statements, because when you look at the ‘science’ which they are quoting, it all falls apart spectacularly. When they say that the peak maximum daytime temperatures reached in the Pacific NW ‘heatwave’ could not have occurred without global warming, what they mean is that, even with global warming, they were impossible! That’s what the study found. Here’s the proof:

The red curve is the current (globally warmed) climate with 95% confidence intervals. The blue curve is the hypothetical climate without alleged man-made global warming. What do you notice? The actual event is way above the red curve even: they never intersect. This means that the event in question is statistically impossible even with global warming! That was the statistical analysis. The models were just as bad. I wrote about this ‘rapid extreme weather attribution study here:

Unraveling 'Attribution' Pseudoscience - No, the NW Pacific Heatwave Would NOT Have Been 'Virtually Impossible' Without Global Warming

And here:

NW Pacific Heatwave Attribution - Multiple Climate Model Failure

By sleight of hand and via some extremely dubious statistical manipulation, the authors managed to conclude that the event in today’s climate was as rare as a 1 in a 1000 year event, even though their own statistical analysis and climate models showed that it was an impossible event. The dishonest media then propagate the myth by telling us that without climate change, such a heatwave would have been impossible, conveniently neglecting to mention that the ‘scientific’ study which they so enthusiastically cite, demonstrated that it was impossible with climate change, meaning that something other than a generalised global warming must have caused it. Exactly the same thing happened with the 40C ‘heatwave’ in the UK last year.

It's Wired's Turn To Hero-Worship Friederike Otto Whilst Grossly Misleading The Public About Her UK 40C Attribution Study

As if that wasn’t enough, the ‘experts’ and the fawning media then go on to tell us that such ‘impossible’ events could become routine in 20 years time. How? Well, after torturing the data and shoe-horning the ‘impossible’ event into an extremely dubious statistical trend, the authors then use extremely unrealistic model projections of global warming over the next 20 years to conclude that the NW Pacific heatwave might happen every 5-10 years by the early 2040s. OMG! Scary!

In order to reach 2C above pre-industrial global mean surface temperature (defined as before 1850) in 20 years time, the world would have to warm another 0.8C, which is 0.4C per decade. But we have already seen that, since 1979, the world has warmed by just 0.13C per decade and it’s currently not warming at all:

Two Terrifying Graphs Which Reveal The Climate Crisis

So, the authors of this attribution study quoted by WaPo, which include the infamous ‘Fredi’ Otto, are using extremely unrealistic projections of global warming and unscientific statistical analyses to conclude that extreme weather which would have been ‘impossible without global warming’ is going to become a regular occurrence in just a few short years. The supreme irony here of course is that WaPo are simultaneously claiming that global warming is not as bad as we thought, nor likely to be as extreme as was thought. Ergo, the extreme weather which they claim is ‘worse than we thought’, even though global warming is less than feared, that so-called ‘catastrophic’ weather which they claim is becoming a lot more frequent and will become even more frequent, can only become a lot more frequent if the world is warming and does warm a lot more rapidly than it has in reality or likely will! Their position is entirely contradictory, but they’re either too stupid or too pig-headed to realise it.