Brits are crazy about the weather; we are obsessed by it. It’s normally the first point of conversation between friends and strangers alike. That’s probably because it’s so damned variable and unpredictable, even with Met office £100m supercomputers. To ad-lib a phrase from Forrest Gump’s mama:
“The British weather is like a box of chocolates; you never know what you’re gonna get.”
Such social obsession is fertile ground for the propagandists and behavioural psyops units embedded in government and the media. The UKHSA launched the ‘Heat Health Alerts System’ at the beginning of summer, with the aim of warning the nation of upcoming heat threats. They’ve already used it when it got a bit warm . . . . . . because it’s summer! Flashing amber, would you believe, for temperatures which are perfectly normal in any decent UK summer.
Last summer, the UK allegedly recorded 40.3C at RAF Coningsby - a new all time record which ‘shocked scientists’ who never thought it could be possible in our temperate maritime climate. 40C+ temperatures were recorded at four other locations too, very briefly (like for minutes or maybe even seconds with the new fast responsive digital thermometers they have nowadays - they’re supposed to average the readings over a minute or preferably five minutes, but the Australian BOM often doesn’t bother, ‘because their custom probes are so good,’ so who knows what the Met Office do when the pressure is on to record ‘unthinkable’ temperature extremes).
Except to ensure consistency with measurements from mercury thermometers there is an international literature, and international standards, that specify how spot-readings need to be averaged – a literature and methodology being ignored by the Bureau. For example, the UK Met office takes 60 x 1-second samples each minute from its sensors and then averages these. In the US, they have decided this is too short a period, and the standard there is to average over a fixed five-minute period.
In Australia, our Bureau takes not five-minute averages, nor even one-minute averages. As Ken Stewart discovered when he persisted with understanding the nature of the data he had been provided by the Bureau from Hervey Bay: the Bureau just take one-second spot-readings.
To date, despite requests from Jennifer Marohasy and others for the BOM to provide direct comparative readings between digital and traditional mercury thermometers, that data has not been forthcoming.
So even the Met Office’s one minute averaging of spot digital thermometer readings might not be sufficient to exclude artificially high maximum temperatures. Hence the ‘allegedly’ above. But this isn’t the least of it and I don’t know for sure if Coningsby RAF weather station is even fitted with a digital thermometer anyway. More to the point, what we do know is that RAF Coningsby is not a quality sited weather station. Paul Homewood says:
Ray has been doing a bit of sleuthing into the siting of the temperature station at RAF Coningsby, where the record UK temperature of 40.3C was set last year.
As the arrow indicates, close to the runway, a building and two seemingly concrete adjacent areas.
Looking at the Google scale, the runway is about 20m away, and those two areas to the left and right are closer still.
WMO rules are quite clear. Class 1 sites must be at least 100m away from concrete surfaces, and even Class 2 ones must be 30m away, which seems to rule out Coningsby. It only qualifies as a poor quality Class 3 site, which the WMO say may overstate temperatures by 1C.
This clearly means that the so-called record of 40.3C should not have been accepted by the Met Office.
But it’s not just the Coningsby 40C+ ‘record’ which is suspect. Jit at Cliscep.com points out that the other 4 stations recording 40C or more may have problems too:
Now, if you want to argue that runways are not skewing the readings, it would be better to simply point to the fact that the records are not at runways. However, of the top 5, one is Heathrow and the other two are RAF bases with runways. That’s quite a strike rate.
Of the five stations exceeding 40°C, only one is close to being “pristine” – Kew Gardens. And it is perhaps unnecessary to add that even Kew is in the middle of a large urban area. Caveat: I might have have mistaken the locations of the weather stations.
But now that the ‘impossible’ has happened, it’s suddenly de rigeur to talk about 40C as being the ‘new normal’. The Met Office is now telling us that 40C is ‘not out of the question’ this year, apparently because the odds of a warmer than average summer have increased now and because ‘it’s happened once, so it can happen again’:
Meteorologists have also warned that the UK could be battling sweltering temperatures of up to 40C next month. The mercury could even beat the record of 40.3C (105F), set last year in Lincolnshire
The British public are being primed to accept what was formerly considered to be virtually impossible as now being possible, even ‘normal’ in the ‘current climate’ heated by man-made greenhouse gases. This is climate alarmist propaganda, predictive programming even. I would not be at all surprised if a thermometer sited near a runway somewhere this year does record 40C+, even breaking last year’s ‘record’. Which is odd, because only three years ago the Met Office was telling us that the chance of 40C+ being recorded anywhere in the UK then was once in every 100 to 300 years. Now it’s like, ‘Oh yeah, well, we hit 40.3C last year, so we could do the same this year because of the climate crisis’. Good grief. The Met Office scientific research paper in question, written by Nikolaos Christidis, Peter Stott, and Mark McCarthy actually states that, even under the most unrealistically pessimistic high end greenhouse gas emissions scenario, in 80 years time, the UK would still only expect to be seeing 40C exceeded every 3.5 years on average, every 15 years for the more moderate RCP4.5 emissions scenario.
Also, the probability of recording 40 °C, or above, in the UK is now rapidly accelerating and begins to rise clearly above the range of the natural climate (Fig. 8c). The return time for the 40 °C threshold is reduced from 100–1000s of years in the natural climate to 100–300 years in the present climate and to only about 15 years by 2100 under the medium-emissions scenario (RCP 4.5) and 3.5 years under the high-emissions scenario (RCP 8.5).
This is patently absurd. The same Met Office which was telling us that 40C+ in the UK was very unlikely even in the present warmer climate and would only become a realistic prospect in 2100 is now telling us to expect 40C+ for the second year in a row! Something is clearly amiss here. The British public are being psychologically assaulted by ‘climate crisis’/extreme weather propaganda, with the MSM once again fully complicit, in my opinion to ‘nudge’ us into behavioural change and an acceptance of the ‘new normal’ re. the non existent ‘climate crisis’.
As if 40C is some magical death barrier. Last I checked, people still live in Iran.
The highest recorded temps here in the USA were also in 1913 in Death Valley.... prior to many cars or planes with their "evil CO2"...
From the Covid PsyOp to the climate PsyOp. Same playbook.