Natural El Nino Warming Coming - Cue 1.5C Global Warming Hysteria
We’ve got five years according to the World Meteorological Organisation. Five years when ‘it’s more likely than not’ that the annual global mean surface temperature will exceed the 1.5C ‘critical global warming threshold’ set by the IPCC (after they moved the goal posts and abandoned the previous 2C ‘critical’ global warming threshold when it became obvious that the world wasn’t warming as fast as they had predicted). It will only be temporary, the WMO say, but even so it’s very worrying and soon temporary will become permanent if we don’t do something.
The Guardian reports:
The world is almost certain to experience new record temperatures in the next five years, and temperatures are likely to rise by more than 1.5C above pre-industrial levels, scientists have warned.
The breaching of the crucial 1.5C threshold, which scientists have warned could have dire consequences, should be only temporary, according to research from the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO).
However, it would represent a marked acceleration of human impacts on the global climate system, and send the world into “uncharted territory”, the UN agency warned.
‘Climate breakdown’ and El Nino will combine to give us even deadlier, hotter heatwaves than we have seen over the past year:
The report, published on Wednesday, found there was a 66% likelihood of exceeding the 1.5C threshold in at least one year between 2023 and 2027.
New record temperatures have been set in many areas around the world in the heatwaves of the past year, but those highs may only be the beginning, according to the report, as climate breakdown and the impact of a developing El Niño weather system combine to create heatwaves across the globe.
El Niño is part of an oscillating weather system that develops in the Pacific. For the past three years, the world has been in the opposing phase, known as La Niña, which has had a dampening effect on temperature increases around the world.
OMG! We’ve only got 5 years to save the planet from burning up. Five years, that’s all we’ve got. Five years, my brain hurts a lot.
It’s bullshit of course. They tried the same thing with the last major El Nino in 2015/16. Back then we exceeded the dreaded 1.5C warming threshold for just a few months. They’ve had over 5 years to make ‘adjustments’ to the surface temperature datasets since then, so can claim it’s very likely that this El Nino will push us over the threshold for a whole year some time between now and 2027. The latest satellite data of course does not show such an alarming warming.
It’s going to take a very powerful ‘super El Nino’ in 2023/24/25 for lower tropospheric global mean temperature to exceed the peak set in 2016, which was only slightly in excess of the peak set 18 years earlier in 1998, with the last ‘super El Nino’.
Climate Central informed us in 2016 that we had breached the 1.5C threshold. Guess what? Nothing happened. We’re still here. The world didn’t burn to a crisp in multiple mega heatwaves, drown in deluges of unstoppable rain, or turn to dust in severe and prolonged droughts. We didn’t all starve to death because of crop failures. But back then we had nitrogen fertilisers. If the WEF get their way, we won’t have, pretty soon. Farmers are to be banned from using them and farms shut down en masse in order to ‘protect the world against global warming’.
A Climate Central analysis shows that the world will have to dramatically accelerate emissions reductions if it wants to meet that goal. The average global temperature change for the first three months of 2016 was 1.48°C, essentially equaling the 1.5°C warming threshold agreed to by COP 21 negotiators in Paris last December.
February exceeded the 1.5°C target at 1.55°C, marking the first time the global average temperature has surpassed the sobering milestone in any month. March followed suit checking in at 1.5°C. January’s mark of 1.4°C, put the global average temperature change from early industrial levels for the first three months of 2016 at 1.48°C.
NASA’s data alone showed a February temperature anomaly of 1.63°C above early industrial levels with March at 1.54°C.
Calculating a baseline closer to the pre-industrial era provides a useful measure of global temperature for policymakers and the public to better track how successful the world’s efforts are in keeping global warming below agreed-upon thresholds.
Fires , storms , crazy weather and the end of humanity make great images and copy. The promotion of negative emotion and fear has as much to do with how the media works and makes money as a plan to control us I think.
The AR4 UN IPCC report in 2007 asserted that "Most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely [90 percent confidence] due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations”.
That was nonsense of course because they cheat by only considering alleged man-made influences on the climate, not climate natural variability in the round.
They took the figure from 1950 because they themselves used to consider the level of atmospheric CO2 before 1950 to be too low to cause any global warming, not that it does even at the current level as various experts such as William Happer have proved.
In their desperation at the near flatlining of global temperature for the last 25 years (as shown in Jaime's graph), the climate catastrophists have now abandoned the 1950 CO2 threshold level and brazenly lie that all the warming since 1850 has been caused by man-made CO2 emissions.
It’s so sad that so many of the general public can’t see through these blatant lies.
The Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor did a good takedown of the latest 1.5 degrees scare here: https://dailysceptic.org/2023/05/19/1-5c-temperature-disaster-story-makes-its-annual-media-appearance/.