They’ve also claimed that a provisional new UK maximum temperature record of 19.6C has been set at the same location. Which is news to me. I’m about 250 miles south of Kinlochewe, in the same southerly airflow and I can tell you it was very cold and blustery out walking the dogs today. I came back frozen. The BBC claims that the extraordinarily high temperature in Kinlochewe (which beat the previous UK January record by over 1C) was ‘partly’ due to the Foehn Effect, but also due to warm winds blowing all the way from the Sahara. Well they must have got warmer on their way to Scotland is all I can say!
A new UK record high temperature has been set in the Scottish Highlands, according to provisional figures from the Met Office.
It recorded a peak of 19.6C (67.3F) at Kinlochewe on Sunday, making it hotter than Rome and the Cote d'Azur.
If confirmed it would be the highest January temperature in the UK, breaking a record set in 2003 by more than a full degree celsius.
It would also be the highest winter temperature ever recorded in Scotland.
The temperature in Kinlochewe was significantly higher than the 18.3C (65F) recorded at Aboyne, Aberdeenshire, on 3 January 2003.
BBC Scotland forecaster and meteorologist Calum MacColl said the balmy weather was due in part to something known as the Foehn effect.
He explained: "The Foehn effect is where, within a stable atmospheric environment, air is forced to rise up and over the hills and mountains, before descending back towards the surface on the leeward or downwind side of the mountains.
"On the windward side on the mountains, the air is mild and moist, but will cool by around 0.6 degree Celsius per 100m as it rises up the hill side. However, as the air mass then reaches the tops of the hills, it then descends and in doing so will dry out and subsequently warm by 1 degree Celsius per 100m.
"This results in higher temperatures being recorded on the downwind side compared with the windward side on the mountains."
He said southerly winds were also drawing up a very mild air mass across Scotland, leading to unusually warm conditions.
But even if it did reach 19.6C in Kinlochewe (and we don’t discover that the thermometer was sited next to the air exchange unit of the local takeaway, or whatever), this still leaves the utterly absurd forecast of 27C to explain. How could the Met Office have forecast a maximum temperature in Kinlochewe, today, just hours in advance, which exceeded the UK January record by almost nine degrees Celsius and which actually exceeded the observed temperature by nearly 7.5C? It doesn’t make sense. What was the forecaster smoking?
Of course, the ‘climate crisis’ mob will no doubt have a field day with this news, even though this new ‘UK record’ is very highly localised and almost certainly due to the Foehn Effect, having nothing whatsoever to do with climate change.
27C was also shown on some other sites so picking up on the same data feed no doubt. I've been unable to find the Kinlochewe wx station (doesn't appear official) and the nearest official station is ~45km away. Aultbea and Loch Glascarnoch were showing 16 and 17C respectively for the same timeframe. 19.6C from Foehn certainly possible. Hopefully Harry Hadrada over on X will take a look as he did with the Spanish record.
https://twitter.com/Harry_Hardrada/status/1750995923163824504?t=oTXRnXzi_8_Xwm6Qj5xyng&s=19
Kinlochewe is about 10 miles inland from the west coast, about 60 miles from Nairn where I live. It’s been blowing a gale and I haven’t been out all day. I haven’t noticed any elevated temperature. The Met Office weather app gives the current (6pm) temperature at Kinlochewe as 10°C with westerly wind gusts of up to 39mph, falling to 3°C and much less windy at 9am tomorrow.
Here is the Telegraph report: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/01/28/highest-ever-january-temperature-uk/. It is also widely reported elsewhere in the MSN, usually with no mention of the foehn effect as that tends to spoil the AGW narrative.
How they ever got to a forecast of 27°C I can’t imagine. That would be an unusually high temperature for mid-summer. As you say, what was the forecaster smoking?