It's Summertime To Blame The Non Existent Climate Crisis For A Few Hot Days!

World Weather Attribution are likely enjoying the fine weather so much, sipping chilled champagne by the private pool that they can’t even be arsed to do a ‘proper’ attribution study post event, so they’ve rushed out a “super rapid attribution analysis” prior to the event so that the eco-Marxists at the Guardian can spread the word by publishing this bollox headline:

And this total bollox from Ben Clarke and Friederike Otto at Imperial College London. ‘Doctors’ apparently. They should be struck off the list of qualified scientists for promoting such pseudoscientific garbage in the service of Net Zero eco-Marxist political doctrine:

Dr Ben Clarke at Imperial College London, who was part of the research team, said the culprit for the extreme heat was clear. “This weather just wouldn’t have been a heatwave without human-induced warming,” he said.

Climate breakdown drove the annual global temperature in 2024 to a new record and carbon dioxide emissions from coal, oil and gas are still rising. If that continues for just two more years, passing the internationally agreed limit of 1.5C above preindustrial levels will be inevitable, intensifying the extreme weather already taking lives in the UK and across the globe.

Clarke said: “With every fraction of a degree of warming, the UK will experience hotter, more dangerous heatwaves. That means more heat deaths, more pressure on the NHS, more transport disruptions, and tougher work conditions. The best way to avoid a future of relentless heat is by shifting to renewable energy.”

Dr Friederike Otto, also at Imperial College London, said: “It is really important to highlight this early summer heatwave because the impacts of heat are still severely underestimated, and the UK is not prepared for this type of weather.” The Climate Change Committee, the government’s official advisers, said in April that the UK’s preparations for adapting to a changing climate were “inadequate, piecemeal and disjointed”.

Otto said: “Heatwaves are called the silent killer, because we don’t see people dropping dead on the street, but killers they are. In Europe in 2022, more than 60,000 people died in the summer from extreme heat.

They’re not even trying to display any semblance of scientific rigour now; it’s just all out 100% ‘climate crisis’ propaganda. The ‘study’ in question is here; it’s not even a ‘proper’ pseudoscientific extreme weather attribution analysis. It’s a total joke, from start to finish.

WWA performed a super rapid analysis, analysing observations only on this early summer heat in the Southeast of the UK, defined (1) by the official heatwave definition of reaching 28°C in many of the so-called home counties and greater London (dark red region in figure 1, Met Office) and (2) the hottest predicted day in the same area. While this is not a full attribution study, the results are in agreement with the study undertaken in July 2022 over a similar region (Zachariah et al., 2022), thus we have high confidence in the results.

Otto is like, ‘Meh, can’t be arsed to do a proper attribution study - just see our July 2022 attribution. You know it makes sense.’

Oh yes, that July 2022 40C Attribution Study, which I covered here. That was bollox too:

From the ‘Key Points’ section, which can hardly be described as ‘key points’ when the main body of the ‘research’ is missing!

• The hottest day in the forecast is approximately 32oC across the region. This is a rarer event, expected in June only once every 25 years. Similar analysis of the changes in likelihood of this finds that such events have become about 100 times as likely, occurring in June only once every 2500 years before industrialisation. This shows that the chance of experiencing the most intense heatwaves is increasing most rapidly.

• The results align with WWA’s 2022 UK heatwave study in terms of the increase in intensity, which showed that the most extreme heatwaves in southern England have also become around 2°C hotter due to human-induced climate change. However, the current event is less intense than the 40°C record-breaking heatwave of 2022 and therefore has a smaller change in probability. The associated impacts this time are also expected to be less severe due to the lower peak temperatures.

They’re banging on about 32C being exceeded in the south of the country on one day! In 1976, 32C was reached or exceeded every single day from 23rd June to 7th July! That is what you call an early season heatwave - and the talk of the town at the time for those of us who can remember was all about the impending Ice Age because the 1960s/70s had been, up until then, so damned cold!

Anyway, this is just a super rapid debunking of WWA’s garbage because I have much better things to do on this fine sunny (and rare!) day. So I’ll finish there.