"(1/2) Depends on how you're defining it, but personally would not consider this a "3 SSW" winter because the ~14 days between this and the Feb event is simply not enough to make these dynamically separable (look, e.g., at the integrated heat flux- 2, not 3, events are apparent)."
Dr Simon Lee:
"Daily-mean data from 6-hourly ERA5 reanalysis also do not show a major SSW on 19 February (+0.4 m/s), so the current SSW (not yet in ERA5) would be the second, not the third, without even resorting to a separation criterion."
Another is we only have information from the Stratosphere since the 1950's. So a 1-250y event (that didn't actually happen - see above) is basically made up statistical nonsense like the 1.5°C threshold a.k.a Climate Science™️.
Just counting down to Fredi Otto to present a rapid streaming pile of attribution to complete the effluent fest.
Talking of Hunga Tonga … https://metatron.substack.com/p/net-zero-climate-change-broadside.
One problem is it's not a 3rd SSW
Dr Amy Butler
"(1/2) Depends on how you're defining it, but personally would not consider this a "3 SSW" winter because the ~14 days between this and the Feb event is simply not enough to make these dynamically separable (look, e.g., at the integrated heat flux- 2, not 3, events are apparent)."
Dr Simon Lee:
"Daily-mean data from 6-hourly ERA5 reanalysis also do not show a major SSW on 19 February (+0.4 m/s), so the current SSW (not yet in ERA5) would be the second, not the third, without even resorting to a separation criterion."
Another is we only have information from the Stratosphere since the 1950's. So a 1-250y event (that didn't actually happen - see above) is basically made up statistical nonsense like the 1.5°C threshold a.k.a Climate Science™️.
Just counting down to Fredi Otto to present a rapid streaming pile of attribution to complete the effluent fest.
We indeed live in fictitious times.
LOL
So we already reached the 1.5 C catastrophic level according to the experts ... yet nothing happened, the world didn't implode, life goes on.
Well then stop spraying the skies and boom global warming is done
Boo!