That is the message from the eco-fascist neo Nazi ‘make Goebbels blush’ climate propagandists at the BBC and now even the Telegraph. It’s hot, in summer, because of climate change and because it’s hot and there’s no wind (because of climate change), our very expensive fleet of wind turbine electricity generators is producing the square root of sod all. So the things which were supposed to make weather great again are not working because the weather ain’t great - again! Well, it is great actually; it makes a change to see some nice warm sunshine and calm days, but, even though there’s all that free sunshine, the climate con artists still aren’t happy, because there’s not much in the way of sea breezes. I don’t think they’ll ever be happy, even as they’re rolling in our money.
A surge of windless heatwaves hitting Britain this summer is wreaking havoc on electricity markets and driving up bills for consumers, according to energy experts.
The industry is already familiar with “dunkelflautes” – the increasingly common spells of freezing windless winter weather when wind and solar farm output plummets. Now it is reporting a similar “hitzeflaute” phenomenon in summer, with longer spells of warm windless weather also becoming more prevalent with climate change.
Hitzeflaute comes from hitze – the German word for heat – and flaute, which means lull, reflecting the absence of strong winds in such spells.
It means Europe and the UK are becoming increasingly dependent on solar power during the day but, in the absence of wind, having to ramp up gas, coal and nuclear power stations in the evening.
The phenomenon also causes massive market swings with power prices often going negative in daytime when solar is peaking, but surging up to £200 or £300 per megawatt hour when the sun goes down, especially if wind output is low.
The UK faces just such a spell this weekend, with a high pressure weather system bringing clear skies, sunshine and low winds that will coincide with the Wimbledon tennis finals.
“These spells are becoming longer and more frequent and hitzeflaute is emerging as the new term for them,” said Jean-Paul Harreman, a senior analyst at Montel, which specialises in European energy data and convening the first conference on hitzeflautes this week.
“The weather is changing at a time when the energy transition is making us more dependent on the weather to generate our electricity from wind and solar. So it is all causing a degree of chaos in the energy markets.”
How bloody inconvenient of climate change to affect our summer weather like this! It should be sunny during the day, not too hot, and during the evening it should be windy so we can power our nation with ‘clean’ electricity throughout the night. In winter it’s even worse: Dunkelflautes mean there’s bugger all sun or wind to power homes and businesses throughout the night and day. All because of climate change! How can we make weather great again with renewables if they won’t work precisely because the weather isn’t great? It’s a bit of a conundrum. A conundrum which people possessed of more than one brain cell - which isn’t currently out on loan - can solve! Here’s how:
Professor Ed Hawkins, of Reading University, an actual climate scientist, is quoted by the BBC thus, regarding the recent brief spells of hot weather (during summer, of all times!):
Global temperatures have risen by over 1.3 Celsius since the industrial revolution as humans continue to release carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere at an unprecedented rate.
This might not sound like much - would we even notice the difference of just over 1C in temperature on any given day?
However, climate scientist Professor Ed Hawkins from Reading University warns that "1C of global warming does NOT mean that heatwaves 'just' get hotter by 1C. Over large parts of the UK, global warming means that heatwaves are 3-4C warmer".
No Ed, no BBC; you’re spreading misinformation. It’s not global warming which is making our heatwaves hotter, it’s ze Hitzelflaute which is making them hotter and, contrary to the misinformation spread by the Telegraph, Hitzelflautes (what we used to call high pressure summer anticyclones) are possibly becoming more frequent and/or severe because of changes in atmospheric circulation - which cannot be linked to global warming, however hard the ‘experts’ try.
Extreme heat has been increasing at global scale1,2, with a rapid rate in several regions. In Western Europe3, summer temperatures and heat extremes have warmed much faster than elsewhere in the mid-latitudes over the last two decades3,4. As a consequence, several unprecedented heatwaves took place in the last 20 years. In 2003, the full summer season mean temperature was unprecedented in Europe5. Northwestern Europe was hit by record temperatures in 20186,7. In 2019, two short (3-day) but intense heat waves saw all-time temperature records broken in many places, associated with a rapid northward advection of Saharan air6. All-time records were broken again in 2022, with temperatures above 40 °C reaching far north (eg. Brittany, U.K.)(https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/without-human-caused-climate-change-temperatures-of-40c-in-the-uk-would-have-been-extremely-unlikely/, (2022)). Unprecedented, and even record-shattering extremes are plausible in climate projections8, but the pace of their increasing magnitude in Western Europe is generally not predicted by these climate models, as well as trends in mean summer temperatures4,9,10,11,12.
It just so happens that even global warming over the last 25 years has demonstrably (CERES data) been caused mostly by an increase in short wave solar radiation reaching the surface, due to decreasing marine cloud cover, especially over the tropical oceans, which can also be linked to large scale changes in atmospheric circulation. So the circulation changes which are making heatwaves hotter in western Europe can be causally linked to the global scale circulation changes which have resulted in global warming post 2000. But here’s the kicker: none of this can be attributed to a theoretical increase in downwelling long wave radiation caused by the accumulation of GHGs, none of it. Far more likely is a combination of internal variability and solar variability over multidecadal timescales - and Hunga Tonga, from 2023 onwards.
The multidecadal decrease in mean annual wind speed across the UK looks like this. It probably means that Dunkelflautes and Hizelflautes are becoming more frequent as winds become lighter generally:
Mad Ed thinks that building more wind turbines and paying wind firms even more of your money to operate them is the answer to harvesting a dwindling natural resource to power a modern technological nation. That’s why he’s called Mad Ed.
The main stream media, politicians and climate ‘experts’ are having you on in order to try and get you to install a heat pump, use less energy in general, buy an EV, go vegan and cycle to work, i.e. sign up to the eco-Marxist Net Zero agenda. Science and data say no.
Good analysis and debunking of propagandist Ed Hawkins, and good to see a mention of Hunga Tonga which the mainstream media NEVER mentions – funny that: https://open.substack.com/pub/metatron/p/are-climate-model-forecasts-useful?r=8t7a0&utm_campaign=comment-list-share-cta&utm_medium=web&comments=true&commentId=124906782.
As I commented at NotALotOfPeople, note how the Telegraph’s resident eco-loon Jonathan Leake introduces the new word “Hitzeflaute” to suggest that this is a new phenomenon caused by “climate change”. Pathetic!
Talking of Mad Ed Millipede, I would like to appologise unreservedly to all millipedes. I hope you didn't all feel insulted.