Wait. What? Was Guterres Right After All? Have We In Fact Entered The Era Of Global Boiling? Yes, It's Tonga, Stupid
We’re being taken for fools, ever so subtly. We thought that Guterres was just another global warming nutter on a hysteria bender when he came up with the ridiculous statement that we have left the age of global warming and entered the era of ‘global boiling’. His comments sparked much amused cynicism, not least from myself, but was he actually telling us the truth, inviting us merely to believe that the cause of this truth was us, not nature? It’s an unsettling thought.
Because now we are learning that the 2022 Tonga undersea volcanic eruption was unique in the record of observed volcanic eruptions, in that it injected vast quantities of water vapour into the upper atmosphere. Boiling, get it? Water vapour is a very powerful greenhouse gas, a lot more powerful than CO2, and thus such vast quantities injected suddenly into the atmosphere have the real potential of temporarily increasing surface temperatures for a few years:
The current heat wave is being relentlessly blamed on increasing levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, but there is a much more plausible explanation, one that is virtually endorsed by two of the world’s leading scientific organizations. It turns out that levels of water vapor in the atmosphere have dramatically increased over the last year-and-a-half, and water vapor is well recognized as a greenhouse gas, whose heightened presence leads to higher temperatures, a mechanism that dwarfs any effect CO2 may have.
In a recent paper published in Nature, a team of scientists showed the unprecedented increase in the global stratospheric water mass by 13% (relative to climatological levels) and a five-fold increase of stratospheric aerosol load – the highest in the last three decades.
Using a combination of satellite data, including data from ESA’s Aeolus satellite, and ground-based observations, the team found that due to the extreme altitude, the volcanic plume circumnavigated the Earth in just one week and dispersed nearly pole-to-pole in three months. [emphasis added]
Volcanic eruptions rarely inject much water into the stratosphere. In the 18 years that NASA has been taking measurements, only two other eruptions – the 2008 Kasatochi event in Alaska and the 2015 Calbuco eruption in Chile – sent appreciable amounts of water vapor to such high altitudes. But those were mere blips compared to the Tonga event, and the water vapor from both previous eruptions dissipated quickly. The excess water vapor injected by the Tonga volcano, on the other hand, could remain in the stratosphere for several years.
This extra water vapor could influence atmospheric chemistry, boosting certain chemical reactions that could temporarily worsen depletion of the ozone layer. It could also influence surface temperatures. Massive volcanic eruptions like Krakatoa and Mount Pinatubo typically cool Earth’s surface by ejecting gases, dust, and ash that reflect sunlight back into space. In contrast, the Tonga volcano didn’t inject large amounts of aerosols into the stratosphere, and the huge amounts of water vapor from the eruption may have a small, temporary warming effect, since water vapor traps heat. The effect would dissipate when the extra water vapor cycles out of the stratosphere [Emphases added]
Not to worry though. I’m sure most of that water vapour just came down in my immediate neighbourhood these past few days! So all is well.
Most interesting is that all these things are interconnected. We as humans don’t seem to like it much when the universe proves it and not we are in charge. The sun is in solar cycle 25 - is actively irradiating the earth. The earth is undergoing a pole shift. The sun, the earth, and we - all of us electromagnetic beings - are affected. An increase in geomagnetic activity - volcanic activity, earthquakes and associated changes are expected. Social instability is yet another factor. Hunga Tonga is a part of all this. Going to be a cold winter.
I ride the global environment like a rollercoaster.
It's going to freeze, It's going to boil.
It's all because man is driving and cooking with oil.
It'll be dry, it'll be wet
It'll be moist, that's the bet.
I roll my eyes and look to the skies.
Seeing clouds and it looks like fun.
I'll let you in on a secret, it's all 'cause of the sun.