The Era Of Global Boiling Is Over
Big drop in UAH lower troposphere global mean temperature to 0.64C, down from 0.75C in October.
I am calling the end of the Era of Global Boiling, which began in May 2023. 18 continuous months of soaring temperatures, peaking in April 2024, but now fading quite rapidly, a little sooner than I expected I must admit. Looks like the Hunga Tonga stratospheric water vapour effect is running out of steam, be that impacting global warming by direct radiative forcing or via indirect stratospheric water vapour/ozone chemical interactions causing changes in global circulation patterns, in turn driving regional variations in extreme weather, in particular regional rainfall patterns.
I think as the globe cools significantly from now on, we will begin to see less regional extremes in rainfall, seasonally, monthly and over shorter periods also. Expect less heatwaves too.
The global warming/extreme weather fanatics are going to find it even more difficult to convince us to give up our cars, our gas boilers and our meat and dairy diets in order to prevent an imaginary climate crisis now that they don’t have a submarine volcano or even a strong El Nino to keep the globe nicely simmering. Their last hurrah will probably be to claim that 2024 is the hottest year ever, or at least since Hippos roamed the Thames estuary or something.
The Era of Global Boiling is over.
All that remains to be seen is how much the planet will cool in the coming years.
Let’s hope you are right. It’s not just the Hunga Tonga warming spike which is leaving climate propagandists “baffled”. The cooling/cold phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is due soon. It has a 60 to 70-year periodicity so was last in its cold phase in the 1960-70s, which some of us are old enough to remember (chilblains, sledging, outdoor skating).
The Hunga Tonga global warming spike was around a full 1°C start to peak which is going to unwind when its water vapour eventually dissipates. That’s going to be a big problem for the climate alarmists to explain after having pooh-poohed Hunga Tonga from the outset. Hopefully the AMO should soon take over to continue the decline. It’s going to be downhill all the way for global temperatures over the next two or three decades.
You can tell the AMO is a problem because it’s never mentioned by the UN IPCC or other climate propagandists, just as they never mention Hunga Tonga. A recent study concluded that the temperature in Greenland has fallen by 0.1°C over the last 20 years which tallies with the waning warm phase/start of cooling phase of the AMO: https://dailysceptic.org/2024/11/26/greenland-surface-temperatures-fall-for-20-years-in-further-blow-to-climate-alarm-narrative/.
If the planet does cool, it will be attributed to the measures taken to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, which will therefore need to be sustained.
If the planet doesn't cool, business as usual.