Global Boiling Update: It's Probably La Tonga
Quick post. I’ve been travelling and laptop battery has failed, so no posts for last two weeks.
September was the ‘hottest month evah’ in the UAH satellite data series since 1978, by quite some margin.
As Ron Clutz says here:
Remarkably, in 2023, SH land air anomaly shot up 1.5C, from -0.56C in January to +0.93 in July, then dropped to 0.53 in August. Now in September SH shot up again to 1.5C. Tropical land temps are up 1.48 since January and NH Land air temps rose 0.9, mostly since May. The consolidated rise greatly exceeds the upward spikes peaking in 2016.
As I said in this post:
Satellite Data Confirms July 2023 Was An Exceptionally Warm Month - Plus More On Why Tonga May Be The Cause
Dr Roy Spencer has updated the UAH lower tropospheric temperature series. The global temperature anomaly shot up to +0.64C in July: It’s almost as warm as February 2016 and just slightly warmer than April 1998, which marked the global warming peaks associated with two very powerful El Ninos. El Nino has barely got going at the present time so it can’t be…
Another thing to note is that warming is expected to be more intense in the southern hemisphere. At the moment, according to Dr Roy Spencer, there is more warming occurring in the northern hemisphere and the tropics. However, Roy Spencer does note that the southern hemisphere land anomaly is a record and we know that land warms a lot more quickly than ocean (of which there is a lot in the southern hemisphere!). Look at Australasia - a huge anomaly of 1.43, increased from 0.06 in June. This would appear to confirm that the southern hemisphere is starting to respond to the water vapour perturbation from Hunga Tonga. When the oceans respond, it may get very warm indeed.
So in future months we should see an accelerated warming in the southern hemisphere if Tonga is indeed responsible for this spike in global temperature.
It’s highly unlikely that the current remarkable warming is due to El Nino, even more unlikely that it is the result of man-made greenhouse gases. La Tonga - which has injected unprecedented amounts of water vapour into the stratosphere, is the most likely cuplrit. Watch this space.
The September UAH anomaly is even higher. Paul Homewood did a post entitled “Hottest Eveh September!!”, see https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2023/10/06/hottest-evah-september/.
He makes the point that such a rapid rise could not possibly be caused by greenhouse gas warming and raises the issue of the Hunga Tonga undersea volcanic eruption which is being studiously ignored by climate alarmists.
He postulates on the delayed reaction effect of the eruption (January 2022) on the UAH temperature readings:
“The eruption was so powerful that the plume reached the stratosphere, where it can only very slowly return to the Earth’s surface, unlike water vapour in the troposphere. For the months after the eruption this greenhouse effect was countered by the cooling effect of the ash and aerosols sent aloft. Now that this effect has receded, we are seeing the full greenhouse effect of the plume.”
There is a NOVA episode about the eruption. Season 50 Episode 8, aired May10. You should be able to find it online. Most recent NOVA seasons are pretty Woke and they really promote Global warming. This is still a good episode to watch.